Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 13.626841 15.304280 17.123647 19.246141 21.657582 24.315904 27.473595
2025-04-06 10.899822 13.073889 15.604964 18.779185 22.667392 27.292442 33.236886
2025-04-13 8.983226 11.414897 14.428291 18.459199 23.743472 30.480610 39.793560
2025-04-20 7.822324 10.481342 13.972232 18.931872 25.863480 35.304876 49.305559
2025-04-27 6.922547 9.738892 13.638574 19.498981 28.197845 40.814317 60.829519
2025-05-04 6.099644 8.970516 13.144106 19.749716 30.120089 46.075061 73.062515
2025-05-11 5.273961 8.071284 12.320406 19.369780 31.019953 49.948126 83.939168
2025-05-18 4.613641 7.324723 11.613545 19.048121 31.942127 54.001002 95.947068
2025-05-25 4.075239 6.693555 10.994888 18.763792 32.864128 58.198357 109.087794
2025-06-01 3.647853 6.185288 10.504189 18.613876 33.983700 62.927784 124.236570
2025-06-08 3.299197 5.763890 10.101558 18.552302 35.244088 68.130478 141.467196
2025-06-15 3.097662 5.574983 10.082577 19.195085 37.960285 76.668601 167.661182
2025-06-22 2.829210 5.237056 9.759051 19.229248 39.528352 83.302687 191.636941
2025-06-29 2.540467 4.824714 9.240509 18.793559 40.043469 87.802890 211.847298
2025-07-06 2.304048 4.484665 8.819081 18.495198 40.808590 93.028296 235.270182
2025-07-13 2.171791 4.336602 8.766142 18.985148 43.461699 103.251933 274.609763
2025-07-20 2.059881 4.216223 8.754488 19.566144 46.445809 114.948496 321.485049
2025-07-27 1.932075 4.046323 8.613929 19.826725 48.696180 125.273341 367.567901
2025-08-03 1.769914 3.782514 8.232395 19.451483 49.254714 131.204071 402.079267
2025-08-10 1.629272 3.550477 7.894301 19.132823 49.910755 137.573245 440.088765
2025-08-17 1.505617 3.343149 7.588356 18.850302 50.619993 144.278328 481.495667
2025-08-24 1.402418 3.171863 7.347397 18.701912 51.688165 152.330391 530.463030
2025-08-31 1.313957 3.025762 7.150106 18.641662 53.009754 161.505718 586.885600